Trading

Prediction markets

Buy Yes or No shares on sports, politics, crypto and economic events. Each share pays $1 if you are right.

Discover markets by volume, category and status, plus the biggest probability moves

How a prediction market works

Every market asks a question with a fixed end date, such as "EPL: 2027 Champion" or "Fed decision in October?". Each outcome has Yes and No shares priced between 1¢ and 99¢. The price is the market's probability: Yes at 60¢ means the market gives it a 60% chance.

  • If the outcome happens, each Yes share pays $1. If it does not, each No share pays $1.
  • You do not have to wait for the end: sell at the current price whenever you like.

Buying Yes

You buy $100 of Yes · Arsenal at 60¢: about 166 shares. If Arsenal win, you receive about $166, a $66 profit. If you sell earlier when Yes trades at 70¢, you receive about $117.

Place a trade

  1. Open a market

    Browse the carousel and categories, or search. Open a market to see every outcome, the price chart, the order book and the rules.

    Market page: outcomes, probability chart, order book and trade panel
  2. Pick an outcome and a side

    Choose the outcome in the trade panel, then Yes or No. Use Market to buy now, or Limit to set your price.

  3. Enter an amount and trade

    Type an amount or use the +$1, +$5, +$10, +$100 and +$1000 buttons. To Win shows what you receive if you are right. Click Trade.

    Trade panel with Yes and No prices, amount and potential winnings

Limits

LimitValue
One marketUp to 10% of balance
All prediction markets togetherUp to 30% of balance
Price range for buysBetween 3¢ and 95¢
Near the endNo new positions in the last 1 hour before a market's end date

Last updated 26 September 2026